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@@ -16,8 +16,8 @@ language:
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  configs:
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  - config_name: forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08
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  data_files: forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08.jsonl
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- - config_name: forecastbench_single_questions_with_human_2024-07-21
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- data_files: forecastbench_single_questions_with_human_2024-07-21.jsonl
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  size_categories:
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  - n<1K
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  ---
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ size_categories:
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  This dataset contains single-ID forecasting questions derived from the [ForecastBench project](https://github.com/forecastingresearch/forecastbench-datasets). It includes two configurations:
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  - `forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08`: Contains 429 forecasting questions with resolved real-world outcomes.
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- - `forecastbench_single_questions_with_human_2024-07-21`: Contains 473 questions with resolved real-world outcomes, augmented with human forecast probabilities from public and superforecaster groups.
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  ## Dataset Structure
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@@ -38,6 +38,7 @@ Each entry in the dataset is a JSON object with the following fields:
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  - `question`: The forecasting question text.
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  - `background`: Additional context or background information.
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  - `source`: Origin of the question (e.g., "manifold").
 
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  - `answer`: Binary outcome (0 or 1) representing the resolved real-world result.
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  - `human_public_forecast`: (Optional) Forecast probability made by the public human group.
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  - `human_super_forecast`: (Optional) Forecast probability made by the superforecaster (expert) human group.
@@ -53,7 +54,7 @@ from datasets import load_dataset
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  dataset = load_dataset("Duruo/forecastbench-single_question", name="forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08")
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  # Load the dataset with human forecasts
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- dataset_with_human = load_dataset("Duruo/forecastbench-single_question", name="forecastbench_single_questions_with_human_2024-07-21")
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  ```
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  ## License and Attribution
 
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  configs:
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  - config_name: forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08
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  data_files: forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08.jsonl
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+ - config_name: forecastbench_single_questions_human_2024-07-21
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+ data_files: forecastbench_single_questions_human_2024-07-21.jsonl
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  size_categories:
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  - n<1K
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  ---
 
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  This dataset contains single-ID forecasting questions derived from the [ForecastBench project](https://github.com/forecastingresearch/forecastbench-datasets). It includes two configurations:
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  - `forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08`: Contains 429 forecasting questions with resolved real-world outcomes.
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+ - `forecastbench_single_questions_human_2024-07-21`: Contains 473 questions with resolved real-world outcomes, augmented with human forecast probabilities from public and superforecaster groups.
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  ## Dataset Structure
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  - `question`: The forecasting question text.
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  - `background`: Additional context or background information.
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  - `source`: Origin of the question (e.g., "manifold").
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+ - `source_intro`: A standardized prompt prefix shown to forecasters, e.g."We would like you to predict the outcome of a prediction market. A prediction market, in this context, is the aggregate of predictions submitted by users on the website Manifold. You’re going to predict the probability that the market will resolve as ‘Yes’."
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  - `answer`: Binary outcome (0 or 1) representing the resolved real-world result.
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  - `human_public_forecast`: (Optional) Forecast probability made by the public human group.
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  - `human_super_forecast`: (Optional) Forecast probability made by the superforecaster (expert) human group.
 
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  dataset = load_dataset("Duruo/forecastbench-single_question", name="forecastbench_single_questions_2024-12-08")
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  # Load the dataset with human forecasts
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+ dataset_with_human = load_dataset("Duruo/forecastbench-single_question", name="forecastbench_single_questions_human_2024-07-21")
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  ```
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  ## License and Attribution